Notional election for the constituency of Cardiff South and Penarth on 5 May 2005
A notional election to the 54th Parliament of the United Kingdom for the constituency area of Cardiff South and Penarth, forming part of the notional general election on 5 May 2005.
Labour win with a majority of 8,955 - 22.7% - on a turnout of 58.2%.
An electorate of 67,855, having a valid vote count of 39,487.
Candidates
| Party | Vote | Vote share |
|---|---|---|
| Labour | 18,402 | 46.6% |
| Conservative | 9,447 | 23.9% |
| Liberal Democrat | 7,824 | 19.8% |
| Plaid Cymru | 2,071 | 5.2% |
| Green Party | 729 | 1.8% |
| UK Independence Party | 562 | 1.4% |
| Other parties | 452 | 1.1% |
Gain or hold information and vote change percentages are calculated according to changes since the preceding general election and take no account of intervening by-elections. The calculations are based on changes to party performance, rather than the performance of an individual candidate. Where the boundary of a constituency has changed since the preceding general election, the calculations are based on estimated notional results for the new boundaries at the previous election.
Under section 13(b) of the Representation of the People Act 1985, a candidate gaining 5% or less of the vote share will forfeit their deposit.
Estimates of the 2005 general election result in new constituencies
Colin Rallings and Michael Thrasher, then at the University of Plymouth, produced estimates of the 2005 general election result as if the new constituencies recommended by the separate Parliamentary Boundary Commissions for England, Wales and Northern Ireland had then been in existence.
The Elections Centre, established by Professors Colin Rallings and Michael Thrasher, moved to the University of Exeter in 2003.