Notional election for the constituency of Winchester on 5 May 2005

A notional election to the 54th Parliament of the United Kingdom for the constituency area of Winchester, forming part of the notional general election on 5 May 2005.

Liberal Democrat win with a majority of 6,524 - 12.7% - on a turnout of 71.9%.

An electorate of 71,253, having a valid vote count of 51,206.

Candidates

Party Vote Vote share
Liberal Democrat 25,621 50.0%
Conservative 19,097 37.3%
Labour 4,774 9.3%
UK Independence Party 1,133 2.2%
Other parties 581 1.1%

Gain or hold information and vote change percentages are calculated according to changes since the preceding general election and take no account of intervening by-elections. The calculations are based on changes to party performance, rather than the performance of an individual candidate. Where the boundary of a constituency has changed since the preceding general election, the calculations are based on estimated notional results for the new boundaries at the previous election.

Under section 13(b) of the Representation of the People Act 1985, a candidate gaining 5% or less of the vote share will forfeit their deposit.

Estimates of the 2005 general election result in new constituencies

Colin Rallings and Michael Thrasher, then at the University of Plymouth, produced estimates of the 2005 general election result as if the new constituencies recommended by the separate Parliamentary Boundary Commissions for England, Wales and Northern Ireland had then been in existence.

The Elections Centre, established by Professors Colin Rallings and Michael Thrasher, moved to the University of Exeter in 2003.