Notional results for a UK general election on 5 May 2005 Wales - by turnout

Parties Constituencies Majorities Vote shares of winning candidates Turnouts

Ranking Constituency Winning party Valid vote count Electorate Turnout (valid vote count / electorate)
1 Monmouth Con 45,653 62,233 73.4%
2 Carmarthen East and Dinefwr PC 37,344 52,741 70.8%
3 Cardiff North Lab 45,360 64,390 70.4%
4 Preseli Pembrokeshire Con 39,199 56,001 70.0%
5 Brecon and Radnorshire LD 38,341 55,171 69.5%
6 Vale of Glamorgan Lab 46,748 68,229 68.5%
7 Ceredigion LD 35,716 52,514 68.0%
8 Ynys Môn Lab 35,462 52,512 67.5%
9 Carmarthen West and South Pembrokeshire Lab 38,429 57,143 67.3%
10 Montgomeryshire LD 30,914 46,655 66.3%
11 Blaenau Gwent Ind 35,251 53,301 66.1%
12 Vale of Clwyd Lab 32,644 49,637 65.8%
13 Gower Lab 39,542 60,432 65.4%
14 Clwyd West Con 36,047 55,381 65.1%
15 Llanelli Lab 35,344 55,280 63.9%
16 Delyn Lab 34,004 53,383 63.7%
17 Wrexham Lab 30,385 48,016 63.3%
18 Pontypridd Lab 34,184 54,122 63.2%
19 Neath Lab 35,817 57,278 62.5%
20 Aberconwy Lab 27,258 43,976 62.0%
21 Rhondda Lab 31,148 50,461 61.7%
22 Dwyfor Meirionnydd PC 29,996 48,823 61.4%
23 Clwyd South Lab 31,350 51,201 61.2%
24 Cynon Valley Lab 29,080 48,272 60.2%
25 Islwyn Lab 33,871 56,225 60.2%
26 Bridgend Lab 34,079 57,046 59.7%
27 Alyn and Deeside Lab 35,496 59,441 59.7%
28 Ogmore Lab 32,059 53,842 59.5%
29 Aberavon Lab 30,104 50,685 59.4%
30 Torfaen Lab 35,979 60,665 59.3%
31 Newport West Lab 35,732 60,303 59.3%
32 Cardiff Central LD 36,132 61,079 59.2%
33 Arfon Lab 25,042 42,998 58.2%
34 Cardiff South and Penarth Lab 39,487 67,855 58.2%
35 Cardiff West Lab 37,578 64,587 58.2%
36 Newport East Lab 31,825 54,941 57.9%
37 Swansea West Lab 33,086 58,363 56.7%
38 Caerphilly Lab 36,223 64,120 56.5%
39 Merthyr Tydfil and Rhymney Lab 29,976 54,044 55.5%
40 Swansea East Lab 30,834 57,502 53.6%

Estimates of the 2005 general election result in new constituencies

Colin Rallings and Michael Thrasher, then at the University of Plymouth, produced estimates of the 2005 general election result as if the new constituencies recommended by the separate Parliamentary Boundary Commissions for England, Wales and Northern Ireland had then been in existence.

The Elections Centre, established by Professors Colin Rallings and Michael Thrasher, moved to the University of Exeter in 2003.